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Will the Dow Make It Five In a Row?

The Street is pleased with WMT's earnings results

by 5/17/2012 8:20:38 AM
Stocks quoted in this article:

After losing ground in the last four trading sessions, futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) are wallowing in the red ahead of the bell. In fact, it could be another ugly day for U.S. stocks, with the S&P 500 Index (SPX) and the Nasdaq Composite (COMP) falling in step with European markets.

  • Schaeffer's Senior Technical Strategist Ryan Detrick observed how a supposedly bearish signal on the SPX may have bullish tendencies.
  • Amid broad-market weakness, Schaeffer's Equities Analyst Bryan Sapp breaks down potential opportunities in the outperforming SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (XBI).
Among equities in focus, Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) is on pace to enjoy a post-earnings pop; short sellers piled on Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB) in the weeks leading up to its quarterly announcement; and, near-term calls were the options of choice on Hot Topic (HOTT) ahead of earnings.

And now, on to the numbers...

Dow, S&P and Nasdaq futures

Market Statistics

Equity option activity on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) saw 1,185,196 call contracts traded on Wednesday, compared to 1,052,281 put contracts. The resultant single-session put/call ratio arrived at 0.89, while the 21-day moving average was 0.73.

NYSE and Nasdaq summary

Volatility indices

From the Trading Floor

Sapp contends, "The 1,333 on the SPX is still right here, even though we're trading all around it. If we don't sustain a bounce back above it soon, we're likely headed for 1,300. The 148 level on the SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) is also pretty important. It has been moving in unison with equities lately, and I would think a bounce in GLD would mean a bounce in the market. It's still all about the euro zone, though."

Currencies and Commodities

  • The U.S. dollar index is pointed north this morning, with the greenback 0.2% higher at $81.54.
  • Crude oil is churning around breakeven, with crude for June delivery last seen at $93.20 per barrel.
  • After closing at their lowest level in 10 months, gold futures are on the rebound, with the malleable metal up 0.7% at $1,546.60 an ounce.

Currencies and commodities

In earnings news, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (WMT - 59.19) said its first-quarter profit rose 10% on a year-over-year basis to $3.74 billion, or $1.09 per share, while revenue edged up 8.5% to $113.02 billion. The results beat analysts' expectations for earnings of $1.04 per share on $110.54 billion in sales. Traders on the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) bought to open 2.83 calls for every put in the 10 sessions prior to today's announcement. WMT is 2.9% higher in pre-market trading.

Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB - 35.75) reported a first-quarter profit of $10.6 million, or 71 cents per share -- up 21% from the year-ago period. Excluding items, RRGB earned 58 cents per share, as revenue increased 4.4% to $299.5 million. Analysts were looking for a healthier profit of 66 cents per share on $306 million in revenue. Short sellers increased their bearish exposure by 11.9% in the last two reporting periods, and short interest now accounts for 12.1% of the stock's float.

Hot Topic (HOTT - 9.88) swung to a first-quarter profit of $3.8 million, or 9 cents per share, while revenue rose by 6.4% to $171.5 million -- the latter boosted by a 7.5% increase in same-store sales. Analysts, on average, had expected earnings of 8 cents per share on sales of $171.6 million. Short-term calls were preferred on HOTT ahead of earnings, with the stock's Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio resting at 0.30.

Earnings and Economic Data

Today's round-up includes weekly jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index, and the Conference Board's index of leading economic indicators. Wall Street can expect earnings reports from Dollar Tree (DLTR), GameStop (GME), The Gap (GPS), Applied Materials (AMAT), Aruba Networks (ARUN), Autodesk (ADSK), Marvell Technology Group (MRVL), Intuit (INTU), Aeropostale (ARO), Advance Auto Parts (AAP), The Children's Place Retail Stores (PLCE), Pacific Sunwear (PSUN), Brocade Communications Systems (BRCD), and Salesforce.com (CRM).

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